默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream v Portland Fire

开赛时间: 2026-08-28 23:34 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Dream 83–101 Portland Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream (主队)

预测 85.73%1.17公平赔率
EV -3.13%
优势 -2.77%
Kelly -24.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.13

博彩公司预测分布
83.08%85.68%85.65%87.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.111.111.1393.46%89.99%90.09%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Portland Fire (客队)

预测 14.27%7.01公平赔率
EV +7.04%
优势 +0.938%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.076%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.79%14.32%14.35%16.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.606.507.5018.18%15.16%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Dream (主队):85.73%;Portland Fire (客队):14.27%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.01。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.50,对应+7.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +7.04%E +0.938%K +1.08%G +0.076%4.2%2026-08-28 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +3.47%E +0.479%K +0.555%G +0.019%3.9%2026-08-28 15:20
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.67%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV +2.04%E +0.286%K +0.332%G +0.007%4.9%2026-08-28 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.42%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.58%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005%3.3%2026-08-28 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005%4.1%2026-08-28 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +1.76%E +0.247%K +0.287%G +0.005%4.1%2026-08-28 23:26
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 23:21
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 23:23
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 15:48
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.097%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 20:59
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -2.95%E -0.434%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 21:05
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 15:15
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.67%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 23:24
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.38%E -0.654%K -0.768%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.38%E -0.654%K -0.768%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.81%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:00
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -5.81%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:30
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:15
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.23%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.66%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.84%E -4.36%K -44.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -8.66%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.56%E -6.01%K -72.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.80%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -11.51%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.41%E -6.86%K -92.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -11.51%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -8.27%E -7.73%K -118.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -12.94%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 23:30
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:30
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.70%E -5.18%K -56.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.37%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.13%E -2.77%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -17.94%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.98%E -3.56%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.51%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 23:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-28 23:25
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-28 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51%1.4%2026-08-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-28 23:30
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-08-28 23:30