默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Atlanta Dream 82–80 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream (主队)

预测 66.34%1.51公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -5.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.47

博彩公司预测分布
64.53%66.35%66.35%67.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.4773.53%69.66%69.44%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 33.66%2.97公平赔率
EV +0.987%
优势 +0.329%
Kelly +0.494%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
32.18%33.65%33.65%35.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.812.773.0039.22%35.62%36.10%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atlanta Dream (主队):66.34%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):33.66%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.97。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.00,对应+0.987%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.987%E +0.329%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.50%EV -0.023%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:29
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.71%E -0.584%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.71%E -0.584%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:29
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 05:19
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.48%E -1.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 18:30
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -6.08%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -6.08%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.76%E -2.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.48%E -1.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.80%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.78%E -7.19%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -14.16%E -5.55%K -9.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 18:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%0.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-24 17:30
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50