A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 82–80 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 66.34%1.51odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -5.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.53%66.35%66.35%67.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.441.441.4773.53%69.66%69.44%68.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 33.66%2.97odd justa
EV +0.987%
Vantagem +0.329%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.18%33.65%33.65%35.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.812.773.0039.22%35.62%36.10%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.987%E +0.329%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.50%EV -0.023%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:19
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:29
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:30
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:19
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.696%E -0.236%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.71%E -0.584%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.71%E -0.584%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:30
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.38%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:29
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 05:19
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.06%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.48%E -1.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 18:30
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -6.08%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -6.08%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:29
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.14%E -3.59%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.76%E -2.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:59
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 13:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.13%E -5.09%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:29
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.48%E -1.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 18:10
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:50
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.11%E -3.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.80%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:19
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.78%E -7.19%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -14.16%E -5.55%K -9.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%0.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-24 17:30
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50