Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury

2026-08-05 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 65.52%1.53odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -6.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.39%65.50%65.56%66.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.4871.43%68.82%68.97%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 34.48%2.90odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.611%
Kelly -0.942%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.72%34.50%34.44%35.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.702.8539.22%36.73%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Dream (Local): 65.52%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 34.48%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.85, com valor esperado de -1.74%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 21:15
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 09:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:25
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:29
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:20
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:04
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:04
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:35
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:34
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.22%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.74%E -0.611%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:10
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:08
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:04
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:19
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:59
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.53%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:09
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:09
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:09
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.36%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 22:10
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 21:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 20:55
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 23:33
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 23:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-04 20:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-04 23:25
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-08-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-08-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%6.1%2026-08-05 00:05