Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-08-05 23:03 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 96–82 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 68.63%1.46odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.813%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.04%68.74%68.68%70.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.21%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 31.37%3.19odd justa
EV +5.08%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.03%31.26%31.32%33.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.033.053.3535.71%33.01%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Dream (Local): 68.63%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 31.37%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +5.08%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.110%2.8%2026-08-05 22:58
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +5.08%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.110%2.8%2026-08-05 22:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 22:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 22:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:40
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 18:49
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:09
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.95%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.27%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:25
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:59
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:39
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:54
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -6.52%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:45
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.46%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.46%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:25
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.813%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-05 22:10
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-05 21:55
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-08-05 22:25
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-08-05 21:50
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-08-05 23:00