Idioma:Español
Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 65.52%1.53momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -6.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.39%65.50%65.56%66.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.4871.43%68.82%68.97%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 34.48%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.942%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.72%34.50%34.44%35.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.722.702.8539.22%36.73%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Dream (Local): 65.52%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 34.48%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.90. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.85, con un valor esperado de -1.74%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 09:00 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.03%E -2.04%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.34%E -2.97%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.22%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.74%E -0.611%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.47%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:08 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.53%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:45 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.65%E -3.92%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.96%E -4.90%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.36%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.61%E -5.40%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.19%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.27%E -5.91%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.91%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 20:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |