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Atlanta Dream v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 68.63%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.813%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.04%68.74%68.68%70.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.21%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 31.37%3.19momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +2.16%
Crecimiento +0.110%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%31.26%31.32%33.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.053.3535.71%33.01%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Dream (Local): 68.63%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 31.37%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +5.08%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.110% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +5.08%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.110% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.76%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.70%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 18:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.33%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.95%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.97%E -4.36%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.27%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.23%E -2.29%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.60%E -3.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.89%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.92%E -2.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -6.52%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.46%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.29%E -3.83%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.46%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.54%E -1.79%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.72%E -6.56%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.03%E -3.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.90%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.66%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.17%E -0.813%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.17%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |