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Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 58.65%1.71fair odd
EV -0.883%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.64%58.72%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.631.6966.23%61.46%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 41.35%2.42fair odd
EV -0.757%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.36%41.28%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.302.302.4046.73%43.51%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 58.65%; New York Liberty (Visit): 41.35%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.757%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.883%E -0.523%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.64%E -1.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.37%E -3.29%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.03%E -4.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.82%E -2.33%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.65%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.03%E -4.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.757%E -0.316%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 23:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -11.44%E -7.58%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -11.51%E -5.38%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-11 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 23:30 |