L’École des cotes

Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 23:32 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Dream 90–104 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prévision 58.65%1.71cote équitable
EV -0.883%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%58.64%58.72%59.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.631.631.6966.23%61.46%61.35%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.35%2.42cote équitable
EV -0.757%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.541%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%41.36%41.28%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.302.302.4046.73%43.51%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.883%E -0.523%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-11 23:29
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.64%E -1.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.37%E -3.29%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 23:30
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:29
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:29
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:29
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:30
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-11 23:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:29
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 23:30
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.03%E -4.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:29
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-11 23:29
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.82%E -2.33%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.65%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:30
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:30
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 23:30
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.40%E -2.70%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.72%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 23:29
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 23:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 23:29
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 23:29
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 23:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.03%E -4.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 23:29
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.757%E -0.316%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 23:28
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:29
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:29
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:28
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:29
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:30
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-11 23:29
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -11.44%E -7.58%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -11.51%E -5.38%K -10.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-11 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-06-11 23:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-06-11 23:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-11 23:30
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-11 23:30
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-06-11 23:30