Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream v Las Vegas Aces

2026-08-03 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 49.34%2.03fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.39%49.21%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.921.9554.64%52.06%52.08%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 50.66%1.97fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.61%50.79%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9155.56%53.40%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Dream (Local): 49.34%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 50.66%. For Las Vegas Aces (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -3.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:24
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:09
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:05
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 01:05
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 01:10
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:05
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 23:45
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 23:39
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 23:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 23:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:03
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:25
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:24
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:38
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 23:34
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.70%E -5.30%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-08-02 01:30
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-08-02 01:45