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Atlanta Dream v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 55.42%1.80fair odd
EV +0.318%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%55.21%55.27%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.731.8160.61%57.55%57.64%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 44.58%2.24fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.79%44.73%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.102.102.2052.08%47.55%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 55.42%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 44.58%. For Atlanta Dream (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.318%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:08 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.85%E -5.42%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.85%E -5.42%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.90%E -1.07%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.50%E -2.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.61%E -2.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.41%E -7.51%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 22:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.22%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.22%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.33%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.55%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.39% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 46.61% | 18.5% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
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