Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Dream v Las Vegas Aces

Inizio: 2026-08-03 23:14 UTC

Finale: Atlanta Dream 87–109 Las Vegas Aces

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

55%

45%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Dream (Casa)

Previsione 55.42%1.80quota equa

EV +0.318%

Vantaggio +0.176%

Kelly +0.393%

Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

52.60%55.21%55.27%56.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.651.741.731.8160.61%57.55%57.64%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.58%2.24quota equa

EV -1.93%

Vantaggio -0.879%

Kelly -1.61%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

43.15%44.79%44.73%47.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.922.102.102.2052.08%47.55%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlanta Dream (Casa): 55.42%; Las Vegas Aces (Trasferta): 44.58%. Per Atlanta Dream (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.80. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 1.81, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.318%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:10
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:08
ATG (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:10
betPARX🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.318%E +0.176%K +0.393%G +0.001%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -9.96%E -4.93%K -9.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-03 23:10
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-03 23:09
TABtouch🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.85%E -5.42%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-03 23:10
BetRivers🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.236%E -0.131%K -0.295%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.85%E -5.42%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-03 23:09
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.90%E -1.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-03 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.45%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.50%E -2.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 23:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-03 22:48
betano_uk🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-03 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-03 23:09
GTbets🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-03 23:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 23:09
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 22:35
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 22:39
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.61%E -2.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-03 22:25
Fliff🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.56%E -2.05%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-03 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-03 23:09
Neds🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-03 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-03 22:34
PMU (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.41%E -7.51%K -15.67%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-03 23:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 22:55
BetAnything🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-03 23:10
SportsBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-03 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.22%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-03 23:09
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.22%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-03 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-03 22:30
Bet Right🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-03 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-03 23:08
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.33%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-03 23:10
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-03 22:24
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-03 22:25
Coolbet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-03 22:59
TAB🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.16%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-03 22:24
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-03 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-03 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.93%E -0.879%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-03 18:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.39%E -3.04%K -5.81%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-03 22:49
LeoVegas🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.55%E -5.18%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.62%E -4.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-03 22:34

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-08-03 23:10
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-08-03 23:10
Novig◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%	2.4%	2026-08-03 23:09
Matchbook◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%	11.2%	2026-08-03 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%	13.3%	2026-08-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%	13.3%	2026-08-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 53.39%	1.81I 55.25%NM 46.61%	18.5%	2026-08-03 23:10