Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 2.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 49.90%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 50.10%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.996. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.203%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 20:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.66%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.203%E -0.101%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.203%E -0.101%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.82%E -5.45%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -10.32%E -5.76%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |