Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-08-16 21:05 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 49.90%2.00odd justa
EV -0.203%
Vantagem -0.101%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.95%50.00%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.51%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 50.10%2.00odd justa
EV +0.203%
Vantagem +0.101%
Kelly +0.203%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%50.05%50.00%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.891.882.0055.87%52.83%53.19%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Dream (Local): 49.90%; Indiana Fever (Visitante): 50.10%. Para Indiana Fever (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.996. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.203%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.66%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.203%E +0.101%K +0.203%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 20:48
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 20:40
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:39
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.20%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 20:54
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 21:00
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 20:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:54
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 20:50
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 21:00
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 20:54
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 20:53
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:54
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.70%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:59
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 20:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 20:59
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.203%E -0.101%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 20:48
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 20:54
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.203%E -0.101%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.82%E -5.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 20:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -10.32%E -5.76%K -13.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-16 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-16 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-16 20:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-08-16 20:55
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-16 20:45
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-08-16 21:00
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-16 20:55
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-08-16 21:00