Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 113–96 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 62.78%1.59fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.95%62.75%62.77%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.521.501.5767.11%65.96%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 37.22%2.69fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.828%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.25%37.23%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.562.6540.82%39.03%39.06%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 62.78%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 37.22%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -6.58%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 17:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 16:59
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 16:59
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.46%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 17:00
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.48%E -0.947%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.72%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.37%E -0.515%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:58
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.69%E -3.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -6.46%E -4.33%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -4.72%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-20 17:00
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-06-20 17:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-20 17:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%2.4%2026-06-20 17:00