La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Dream v Indiana Fever

Inicio: 2026-06-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 113–96 Indiana Fever

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Predicción 62.78%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.95%62.75%62.77%63.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.521.501.5767.11%65.96%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Predicción 37.22%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.828%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.25%37.23%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.562.562.6540.82%39.03%39.06%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -6.58%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-20 17:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.44%E -0.915%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 17:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 16:59
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 16:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 16:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.46%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 17:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 16:59
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 17:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 17:00
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.48%E -0.947%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 17:00
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.72%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.58%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.37%E -0.515%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 16:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:59
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 17:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:59
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:58
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 16:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 17:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 17:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.69%E -3.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 16:59
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -6.46%E -4.33%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -4.72%E -1.84%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-20 17:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-20 17:00
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-06-20 17:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-20 17:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%2.4%2026-06-20 17:00