Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.12
assuming max odds 8.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 87.52%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 12.48%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.01. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.93%EV +10.80%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.148% | 3.0% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +6.56%E +0.768%K +0.870%G +0.057% | 4.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +6.56%E +0.768%K +0.870%G +0.057% | 4.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.06%E +0.713%K +0.808%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.06%E +0.713%K +0.808%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +1.07%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +1.07%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -2.67%E -0.342%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -2.67%E -0.342%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -1.98%E -1.76%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -8.91%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.77%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.85%E -2.57%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.43%EV -8.98%E -8.63%K -224.43%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.57%EV -23.88%E -3.92%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -25.13%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.90% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 10.10% | 2.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |