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Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 87.52%1.14momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -16.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.51%87.35%87.41%89.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.091.091.1296.15%91.72%91.74%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 12.48%8.01momio equitativo
EV +10.80%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.148%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.93%12.65%12.59%15.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.467.508.8816.67%13.40%13.33%11.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Dream (Local): 87.52%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 12.48%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.01. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.88, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.93%EV +10.80%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.148% | 3.0% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +6.56%E +0.768%K +0.870%G +0.057% | 4.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +6.56%E +0.768%K +0.870%G +0.057% | 4.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.06%E +0.713%K +0.808%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +6.06%E +0.713%K +0.808%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +1.07%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +1.07%E +0.132%K +0.151%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.176%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -2.67%E -0.342%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -2.67%E -0.342%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -1.98%E -1.76%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.60%E -4.22%K -51.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.48%E -5.07%K -68.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.41%E -0.855%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -8.91%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.65%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 23:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -15.77%E -2.34%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.85%E -2.57%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.89%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.43%EV -8.98%E -8.63%K -224.43%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.57%EV -23.88%E -3.92%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.73%E -3.39%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -25.13%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70% | 0.9% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.90% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 10.10% | 2.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |