Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisconsin Badgers v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 18:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Prediction 71.24%1.40fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -8.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.11%71.29%71.06%73.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.15%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +4.42%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%28.71%28.94%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.353.6333.33%30.20%29.85%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisconsin Badgers (Local): 71.24%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 28.76%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +4.42%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +4.42%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
Everygame🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.11%E +0.596%K +0.829%G +0.018%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.676%E +0.193%K +0.270%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-12 16:50
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.676%E +0.193%K +0.270%G +0.002%4.9%2026-03-12 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.762%E -0.221%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 18:10
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 18:35
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.93%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 17:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:35
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.09%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 18:34
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 18:29
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:34
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:29
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -13.13%E -4.35%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 18:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46%-0.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-12 18:35
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.02%1.4%2026-03-12 18:35
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%6.9%2026-03-12 18:35