La escuela de los momios

Wisconsin Badgers v Washington Huskies

Inicio: 2026-03-12 18:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Predicción 71.24%1.40momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -8.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.11%71.29%71.06%73.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.15%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Huskies (Visitante)

Predicción 28.76%3.48momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.074%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%28.71%28.94%30.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.353.6333.33%30.20%29.85%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +4.42%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +4.42%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.11%E +0.596%K +0.829%G +0.018%3.9%2026-03-12 18:25
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.676%E +0.193%K +0.270%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-12 16:50
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.676%E +0.193%K +0.270%G +0.002%4.9%2026-03-12 17:14
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.762%E -0.221%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 16:30
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 18:10
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:29
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.20%E -0.647%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 18:35
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:35
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.64%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 18:35
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.93%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 18:25
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:45
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:35
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:35
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:35
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 17:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 18:29
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:35
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:35
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.09%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:20
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 18:34
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 18:29
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.95%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:34
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:34
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:29
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:29
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -13.13%E -4.35%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 18:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46%-0.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-12 18:35
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.98%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.02%1.4%2026-03-12 18:35
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-03-12 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%6.9%2026-03-12 18:35