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Wisconsin Badgers v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisconsin Badgers (Local)
Prediction 59.99%1.67fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.85%59.82%60.08%61.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.571.6264.52%63.29%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
Prediction 40.01%2.50fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.61%40.18%39.92%42.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.372.352.4845.25%42.14%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisconsin Badgers (Local): 59.99%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 40.01%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.770%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -11.57%E -5.24%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -10.37%E -4.63%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 20:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |