La escuela de los momios

Wisconsin Badgers v Iowa Hawkeyes

Inicio: 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Predicción 59.99%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.85%59.82%60.08%61.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.581.571.6264.52%63.29%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visitante)

Predicción 40.01%2.50momio equitativo
EV -0.770%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.521%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.61%40.18%39.92%42.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.212.372.352.4845.25%42.14%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:54
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:53
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 20:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 20:55
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 20:55
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 20:55
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -11.57%E -5.24%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 20:55
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:54
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:55
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 10:55
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 19:30
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 18:25
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.17%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 19:30
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 15:24
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 20:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -10.37%E -4.63%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.97%E -0.804%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 20:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:54
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:54
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.97%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:55
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.97%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 20:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:45
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:44
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:44
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:45
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.770%E -0.311%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:45
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:44
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 20:54
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 20:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-22 20:55
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%0.7%2026-02-22 20:54
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-02-22 20:55
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-02-22 20:45
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-02-22 20:55