Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos v Ball State Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos (Local)

Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%53.27%53.25%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.94%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ball State Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%46.73%46.75%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1751.28%49.40%49.50%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 53.15%; Ball State Cardinals (Visit): 46.85%. For Ball State Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV +1.66%E +0.766%K +1.42%G +0.024%3.6%2026-03-03 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -12.30%E -7.46%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.726%E +0.338%K +0.631%G +0.005%7.1%2026-03-03 23:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 23:44
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:44
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:49
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:48
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:45
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 23:48
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:45
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:50
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.67%E -0.903%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.71%E -3.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.9%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-03-03 23:55