A Escola das Odds

Western Michigan Broncos v Ball State Cardinals

Início: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Western Michigan Broncos (Local)

Previsão 53.15%1.88odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%53.27%53.25%56.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.94%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ball State Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 46.85%2.13odd justa
EV +1.66%
Vantagem +0.766%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.42%46.73%46.75%48.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.022.022.1751.28%49.40%49.50%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV +1.66%E +0.766%K +1.42%G +0.024%3.6%2026-03-03 23:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -12.30%E -7.46%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +0.726%E +0.338%K +0.631%G +0.005%7.1%2026-03-03 23:35
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 23:44
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.62%E -0.770%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:45
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:44
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:49
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.96%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:48
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:45
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:50
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.36%E -2.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:44
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:45
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 23:48
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:45
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:50
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.67%E -0.903%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.24%E -3.66%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.71%E -3.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.64%E -4.43%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.9%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%2.1%2026-03-03 23:55