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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers v New Mexico St Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local)
Prediction 66.31%1.51fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%66.21%66.43%68.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.52%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd
EV +0.404%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%33.79%33.57%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.612.762.752.9838.31%36.24%36.36%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local): 66.31%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 33.69%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.404%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.404%E +0.135%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -9.16%E -6.69%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.86%E -1.26%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.84%E -4.12%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.84%E -4.12%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.39%E -4.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.73%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.73%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -12.06%E -4.62%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 69.08% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.92% | -0.2% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-02-27 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |