La escuela de los momios

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers v New Mexico St Aggies

Inicio: 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local)

Predicción 66.31%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.29%66.21%66.43%68.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.52%69.44%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Mexico St Aggies (Visitante)

Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV +0.404%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.204%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%33.79%33.57%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.612.762.752.9838.31%36.24%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.404%E +0.135%K +0.204%G +0.001%4.5%2026-02-26 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:04
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:05
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -9.16%E -6.69%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 20:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 00:05
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 20:59
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:05
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 00:04
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 00:08
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:25
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:59
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 22:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:09
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 20:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 20:59
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.51%E -4.61%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 20:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 22:14
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 22:14
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.35%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.86%E -1.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 21:00
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 20:59
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.84%E -4.12%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 00:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.84%E -4.12%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:14
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.53%E -1.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.39%E -4.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.73%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 20:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.73%E -4.48%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 20:59
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -12.06%E -4.62%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 69.08%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.92%-0.2%2026-02-27 00:09
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-02-26 21:00
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-02-27 00:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-02-27 00:00
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%4.2%2026-02-27 00:25