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Western Illinois Leathernecks v Morehead St Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)
Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV +0.924%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.280%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.46%23.74%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.3027.03%24.94%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Morehead St Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 76.53%1.31fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -10.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.20%76.54%76.26%77.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.251.2781.97%80.48%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local): 23.47%; Morehead St Eagles (Visit): 76.53%. For Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.924%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.924%E +0.215%K +0.280%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -0.249%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -5.65%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -2.81%E -2.21%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 07:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -7.06%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -7.99%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.26%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.81%E -2.21%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.13% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.87% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 20:19 |