L’École des cotes

Western Illinois Leathernecks v Morehead St Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)

Prévision 23.47%4.26cote équitable
EV +0.924%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.280%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.10%23.46%23.74%24.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.3027.03%24.94%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Morehead St Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.53%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -10.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.20%76.54%76.26%77.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.241.251.2781.97%80.48%80.00%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.924%E +0.215%K +0.280%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:00
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -0.249%E -0.059%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:25
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:25
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:24
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 17:00
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:25
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.77%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:00
Pinnacle4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -5.65%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -2.81%E -2.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:20
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:09
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 07:09
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -7.06%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:50
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 20:31
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -7.99%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.26%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:05
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.81%E -2.21%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 21:20
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:24
BoyleSports3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:09
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:01
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.64%E -2.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 21:20
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-02-21 21:05
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-02-21 16:25
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.85%1.7%2026-02-21 21:25
Novig4.22I 23.70%NM 23.13%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.87%2.4%2026-02-21 20:19