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Virginia Cavaliers v Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 89.17%1.12fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -31.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.14%89.05%89.23%90.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.36%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)
Prediction 10.83%9.23fair odd
EV +13.71%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.198%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.17%10.95%10.77%12.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.188.1310.5013.79%12.23%12.31%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 89.17%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 10.83%. For Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +13.71%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.198% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +1.37%E +0.146%K +0.164%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +0.177%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.42%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 9.13I 10.95%NM 10.58%EV -1.12%E -0.123%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV -1.99%E -0.220%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.07%E -0.343%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.24%E -0.599%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.24%E -0.599%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.77%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.43%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.23%EV -10.11%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -13.90%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 23:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.80%E -2.57%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -21.48%E -2.96%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.72% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 9.28% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |