L’École des cotes

Virginia Cavaliers v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 89.17%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -31.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.14%89.05%89.23%90.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.36%93.46%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.83%9.23cote équitable
EV +13.71%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.17%10.95%10.77%12.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.258.188.1310.5013.79%12.23%12.31%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +13.71%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.198%3.9%2026-03-03 23:45
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +1.37%E +0.146%K +0.164%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-03 23:55
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +0.177%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.42%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.58%EV -1.12%E -0.123%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 23:20
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV -1.99%E -0.220%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:55
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:01
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:00
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.53%E -0.281%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.07%E -0.343%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 22:00
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.24%E -0.599%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 22:00
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.24%E -0.599%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:55
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:05
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:04
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.95%E -0.935%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:00
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.77%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.43%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.23%EV -10.11%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -13.90%E -1.75%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 23:48
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.80%E -2.57%K -31.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:45
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.42%K -46.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 22:59
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 23:00
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 22:55
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 22:05
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 22:05
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 23:50
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -21.48%E -2.96%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 90.72%10.75I 9.30%NM 9.28%0.2%2026-03-03 23:45
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-03 22:01
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-03 16:55
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-03 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-03 22:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-03 23:50