默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

开赛时间: 2026-02-24 23:59 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Virginia Cavaliers (主队)

预测 71.01%1.41公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -5.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
68.13%70.86%70.97%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.351.341.3876.34%74.10%74.63%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

NC State Wolfpack (客队)

预测 28.99%3.45公平赔率
EV +1.47%
优势 +0.421%
Kelly +0.589%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.54%29.14%29.03%31.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.173.153.5033.90%31.52%31.75%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Virginia Cavaliers (主队):71.01%;NC State Wolfpack (客队):28.99%。 对于“NC State Wolfpack (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.50,对应+1.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.47%E +0.421%K +0.589%G +0.009%3.8%2026-02-24 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:15
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:40
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:52
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:35
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 23:54
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -6.98%E -5.33%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -5.20%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 23:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:45
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.36%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:35
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:34
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:34
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:15
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.28%E -3.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -14.47%E -4.91%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 21:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%0.2%2026-02-24 23:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-24 23:55
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-24 23:40
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-24 23:54
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-24 23:54