L’École des cotes

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 23:59 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 71.01%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -5.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.13%70.86%70.97%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.351.341.3876.34%74.10%74.63%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NC State Wolfpack (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.99%3.45cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.421%
Kelly +0.589%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%29.14%29.03%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.173.153.5033.90%31.52%31.75%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.47%E +0.421%K +0.589%G +0.009%3.8%2026-02-24 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:44
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:15
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:19
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:40
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.88%E -0.859%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:52
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:35
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 23:54
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 15:15
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.14%E -3.07%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:20
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -6.98%E -5.33%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -5.20%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 23:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 21:45
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:45
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.36%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 22:14
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:34
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.43%E -2.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:34
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:14
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:15
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 22:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.12%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 23:09
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.85%E -3.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.28%E -3.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:54
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 21:34
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.01%E -1.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -14.47%E -4.91%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 21:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%0.2%2026-02-24 23:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-24 23:55
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-24 23:40
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-24 23:54
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-24 23:54