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Villanova Wildcats v Georgetown Hoyas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Villanova Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 73.11%1.37fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%72.95%73.32%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.311.3478.74%76.21%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Georgetown Hoyas (Visit)
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.05%26.68%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.443.403.7831.75%29.10%29.41%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 73.11%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 26.89%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:36 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 01:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.522%E -0.141%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.87%E -0.511%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.87%E -0.511%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -11.01%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 01:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -13.16%E -4.07%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.24% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.76% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 01:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 78.81% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 21.19% | 26.9% | 2026-03-13 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 53.33% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 46.67% | 41.0% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 53.33% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 46.67% | 41.0% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 44.81% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 55.19% | 67.8% | 2026-03-13 01:40 |