L’École des cotes

Villanova Wildcats v Georgetown Hoyas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 73.11%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.31%72.95%73.32%74.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.311.311.3478.74%76.21%76.34%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Georgetown Hoyas (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.89%3.72cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.431%
Kelly +0.586%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%27.05%26.68%29.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.443.403.7831.75%29.10%29.41%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010%4.0%2026-03-13 01:34
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010%4.0%2026-03-13 01:36
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +1.63%E +0.431%K +0.586%G +0.010%4.6%2026-03-13 01:38
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.522%E -0.141%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 01:29
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.87%E -0.511%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 01:29
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.87%E -0.511%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:30
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:30
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:29
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:29
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.55%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 01:29
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:39
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 01:29
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.24%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:29
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 01:40
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.68%E -4.41%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 01:30
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 01:29
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 01:29
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 01:40
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -9.93%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 01:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -11.01%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 01:40
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:40
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:39
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:40
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:40
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:40
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:40
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 01:38
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 01:39
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 01:39
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -13.16%E -4.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 01:29
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 01:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 74.24%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.76%-0.2%2026-03-13 01:29
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-03-13 01:40
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-13 01:40
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-03-13 01:39
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 78.81%3.72I 26.88%NM 21.19%26.9%2026-03-13 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 53.33%1.52I 65.79%NM 46.67%41.0%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 53.33%1.52I 65.79%NM 46.67%41.0%2026-03-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 44.81%1.08I 92.59%NM 55.19%67.8%2026-03-13 01:40