Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valparaiso Beacons (Local): 56.29%; Indiana St Sycamores (Visit): 43.71%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 23:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.97%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.22%E -0.539%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -2.97%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.34%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.34%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.93%E -6.21%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.66%E -0.736%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -10.50%E -6.60%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -2.09%E -0.934%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |