La escuela de los momios

Valparaiso Beacons v Indiana St Sycamores

Inicio: 2026-03-06 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Valparaiso Beacons (Local)

Predicción 56.29%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%56.35%56.27%58.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.681.701.7162.89%59.48%58.82%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Indiana St Sycamores (Visitante)

Predicción 43.71%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.539%
Kelly -0.967%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.51%43.65%43.73%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.182.2647.62%45.84%45.87%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:53
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:53
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.97%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:55
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:55
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:54
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 23:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:55
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 23:55
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.22%E -0.539%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -2.97%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 23:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.34%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 23:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.34%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 23:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 23:55
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 23:35
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.93%E -6.21%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.66%E -0.736%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -10.50%E -6.60%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -2.09%E -0.934%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-03-05 23:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-05 23:55
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-05 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-03-05 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-03-05 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-03-05 23:55