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UNC Wilmington Seahawks v Dayton Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local)
Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.32%39.31%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.74%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayton Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV +3.85%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +5.42%
Growth +0.209%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%60.68%60.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.7166.67%63.69%63.69%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Local): 39.27%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 60.73%. For Dayton Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -13.61%E -6.19%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +3.85%E +2.25%K +5.42%G +0.209% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 09:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.97%E -2.05%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.58%E -1.88%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 20:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.97%E -2.05%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.22%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.50%E -3.65%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.72%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.72%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.68%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.68%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 20:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.83%E -0.731%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.90%E -5.94%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 22:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 22:54 |