默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UNC Wilmington Seahawks v Dayton Flyers

开赛时间: 2026-03-21 23:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UNC Wilmington Seahawks (主队)

预测 39.27%2.55公平赔率
EV -1.83%
优势 -0.731%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.50%39.32%39.31%43.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.74%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dayton Flyers (客队)

预测 60.73%1.65公平赔率
EV +3.85%
优势 +2.25%
Kelly +5.42%
增长率 +0.209%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
56.27%60.68%60.69%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.571.571.7166.67%63.69%63.69%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:UNC Wilmington Seahawks (主队):39.27%;Dayton Flyers (客队):60.73%。 对于“Dayton Flyers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.65。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.71,对应+3.85%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -13.61%E -6.19%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +3.85%E +2.25%K +5.42%G +0.209%3.9%2026-03-20 09:49
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.97%E -2.05%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 20:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 20:30
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 18:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.58%E -1.88%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 20:18
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.97%E -2.05%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:54
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.22%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:49
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:54
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.50%E -3.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 18:00
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.72%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 21:59
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.72%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.68%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.68%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:55
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:44
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:43
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.83%E -0.731%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.90%E -5.94%K -17.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-03-21 22:49
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-21 22:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 22:39
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-21 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-03-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-03-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-03-21 22:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-21 22:54