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UNC Greensboro Spartans v VMI Keydets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local)
Prediction 72.36%1.38fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.16%72.22%72.67%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.69%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VMI Keydets (Visit)
Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.78%27.33%29.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.6031.75%29.63%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local): 72.36%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 27.64%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.509%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.59%E -1.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.59%E -1.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.03%E -2.26%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.03%E -2.26%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -1.06%E -0.297%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.89%E -0.533%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.72%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.72%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:23 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 12:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.10%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33% | -0.1% | 2026-03-07 00:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 00:20 |