L’École des cotes

UNC Greensboro Spartans v VMI Keydets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local)

Prévision 72.36%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.16%72.22%72.67%73.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.69%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VMI Keydets (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.509%
Avantage -0.141%
Kelly -0.196%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%27.78%27.33%29.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.403.6031.75%29.63%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.59%E -1.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 00:03
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.59%E -1.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:30
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.31%E -1.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:29
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.03%E -2.26%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.03%E -2.26%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:29
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 00:24
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -1.06%E -0.297%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 00:25
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.89%E -0.533%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.72%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:20
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.72%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:19
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 00:20
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.48%E -3.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:20
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:19
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:19
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:23
Everygame1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:20
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 12:15
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:33
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:19
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 00:20
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.10%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 00:24
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:24
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:35
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 00:19
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:34
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 00:24
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 00:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33%-0.1%2026-03-07 00:19
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-07 00:24
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-07 00:25
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-03-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-03-07 00:24
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-03-07 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-03-07 00:20