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UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell River Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UMBC Retrievers (Local)
Prediction 73.66%1.36fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -11.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%73.86%73.52%75.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.46%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 3.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%26.14%26.48%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.553.9929.85%27.79%28.17%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMBC Retrievers (Local): 73.66%; UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit): 26.34%. For UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +5.11%E +1.28%K +1.71%G +0.087% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +5.11%E +1.28%K +1.71%G +0.087% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 21:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -0.423%E -0.112%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 21:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 21:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%EV -4.64%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -8.59%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.45% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.55% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 21:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |