L’École des cotes

UMBC Retrievers v UMass Lowell River Hawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 22:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UMBC Retrievers (Local)

Prévision 73.66%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -11.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%73.86%73.52%75.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.46%77.52%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%26.14%26.48%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.603.553.9929.85%27.79%28.17%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +5.11%E +1.28%K +1.71%G +0.087%3.8%2026-03-10 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +5.11%E +1.28%K +1.71%G +0.087%3.8%2026-03-10 22:00
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 21:59
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 21:59
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:00
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 21:56
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.104%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:00
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -0.423%E -0.112%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 21:56
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 21:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 21:58
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%EV -4.64%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 22:00
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 22:00
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:59
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 21:59
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 21:59
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.51%E -2.68%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 21:59
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 21:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 21:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.98%E -3.86%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 21:59
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 21:59
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.46%E -5.08%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 21:59
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -8.59%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 21:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 22:00
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 21:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-03-10 22:00
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-10 22:00
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-10 22:00
BetOpenly1.33I 75.19%NM 73.45%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.55%2.4%2026-03-10 21:59
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%4.9%2026-03-10 22:00