Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 9.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMBC Retrievers (Local): 87.93%; New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit): 12.07%. For New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.28. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.64%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 17:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +3.81%E +0.443%K +0.501%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV +3.21%E +0.375%K +0.425%G +0.014% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.60%E +0.306%K +0.347%G +0.009% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +0.431%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +0.431%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.47%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.47%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.04%EV -3.28%E -2.98%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 12.96%EV -10.80%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.29%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.71%EV -11.28%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -13.09%E -1.82%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 17:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.28%E -2.98%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -21.54%E -3.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.50% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.50% | -0.2% | 2026-03-07 17:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.68% | 8.62I 11.60%NM 11.32% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |