L’École des cotes

UMBC Retrievers v New Hampshire Wildcats

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UMBC Retrievers (Local)

Prévision 87.93%1.14cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -32.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.64%87.97%88.01%89.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.081.091.1094.34%92.33%91.74%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Hampshire Wildcats (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.07%8.28cote équitable
EV +8.64%
Avantage +0.960%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%12.03%11.99%14.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.567.209.0015.38%13.23%13.89%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093%4.6%2026-03-07 17:03
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093%4.6%2026-03-07 17:04
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.64%E +0.960%K +1.08%G +0.093%5.5%2026-03-07 16:40
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +3.81%E +0.443%K +0.501%G +0.019%5.1%2026-03-07 17:14
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV +3.21%E +0.375%K +0.425%G +0.014%3.4%2026-03-07 17:34
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.60%E +0.306%K +0.347%G +0.009%4.4%2026-03-07 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +0.431%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 17:35
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +0.431%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 17:24
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:04
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:04
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:34
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:19
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.43%E -0.429%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:40
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.47%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:14
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.47%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:38
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.04%EV -3.28%E -2.98%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.96%EV -10.80%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 17:45
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 87.29%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.71%EV -11.28%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 17:39
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -13.09%E -1.82%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:54
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.28%E -2.98%K -32.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 17:04
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:14
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 17:14
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 17:49
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:14
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.50%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:14
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.16%E -3.81%K -46.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -21.54%E -3.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 17:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.50%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.50%-0.2%2026-03-07 17:49
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-07 17:50
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-07 17:35
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.68%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.32%2.5%2026-03-07 17:34