Language:English
UMBC Retrievers v Albany Great Danes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UMBC Retrievers (Local)
Prediction 72.05%1.39fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -10.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.68%72.22%71.88%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3478.13%75.98%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Albany Great Danes (Visit)
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.925%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.78%28.12%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.233.363.353.7030.96%29.76%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMBC Retrievers (Local): 72.05%; Albany Great Danes (Visit): 27.95%. For Albany Great Danes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.78%E -6.08%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.42%E +0.925%K +1.27%G +0.043% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.62%E -4.29%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.628%E +0.174%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.17%E -0.619%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -7.78%E -6.08%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.06%E -5.47%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -9.71%E -3.01%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87% | 2.8% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |