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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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UMBC Retrievers v Albany Great Danes

开赛时间： 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UMBC Retrievers (主队)

预测 72.05%1.39公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -2.58%
Kelly -10.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.34

博彩公司预测分布
70.68%72.22%71.88%74.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.321.321.3478.13%75.98%75.76%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Albany Great Danes (客队)

预测 27.95%3.58公平赔率
EV +3.42%
优势 +0.925%
Kelly +1.27%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.70%27.78%28.12%29.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.233.363.353.7030.96%29.76%29.85%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：UMBC Retrievers (主队)：72.05%；Albany Great Danes (客队)：27.95%。 对于“Albany Great Danes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.70，对应+3.42%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.78%E -6.08%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.42%E +0.925%K +1.27%G +0.043%5.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.62%E -4.29%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.628%E +0.174%K +0.241%G +0.002%4.1%2026-02-21 17:53
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.17%E -0.619%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -7.78%E -6.08%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:55
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 17:51
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.06%E -5.47%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.71%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.14%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.34%E -4.88%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:54
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -9.71%E -3.01%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Polymarket◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%2.8%2026-02-21 17:55