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UCF Knights v Oklahoma St Cowboys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UCF Knights (Local)
Prediction 77.47%1.29fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -9.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.58%77.48%77.49%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2683.33%81.59%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)
Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.52%22.51%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.234.204.5025.64%23.66%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 77.47%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 22.53%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.39%E +0.310%K +0.398%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -1.99%E -0.457%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -2.44%E -0.563%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.79%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.79%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.16%E -2.53%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.69%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.26%E -5.18%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.49%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.26%E -5.18%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -11.22%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.39%E -1.90%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.80% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 21.20% | -0.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |