L’École des cotes

UCF Knights v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UCF Knights (Local)

Prévision 77.47%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -9.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.58%77.48%77.49%78.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.231.221.2683.33%81.59%81.97%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.53%4.44cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.310%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%22.52%22.51%24.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.234.204.5025.64%23.66%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.39%E +0.310%K +0.398%G +0.006%4.2%2026-03-03 22:25
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:30
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.859%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:25
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -1.99%E -0.457%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:24
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -2.44%E -0.563%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 22:25
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:25
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.11%E -0.724%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.79%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 22:25
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.79%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 22:25
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 22:30
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 22:35
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:25
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.16%E -2.53%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.69%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 22:45
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:15
Everygame1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:25
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.71%E -3.83%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 22:35
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:35
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:35
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.26%E -5.18%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 22:25
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.49%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.94%E -3.18%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.26%E -5.18%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 22:25
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.04%E -5.87%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 22:25
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -11.22%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:35
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.39%E -1.90%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.49%E -4.50%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.80%4.72I 21.19%NM 21.20%-0.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-03 15:05
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%2.7%2026-03-03 23:05
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-03 23:55