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UCF Knights v Baylor Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UCF Knights (Local)
Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.55%52.46%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.43%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baylor Bears (Visit)
Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%47.45%47.54%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.001.992.1551.55%50.12%50.25%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 52.57%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 47.43%. For Baylor Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.97%E +0.915%K +1.71%G +0.034% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:42 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.67%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 00:42 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.32%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.32%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.62%E -2.82%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.94%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.04%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.04%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.32%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.84%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 00:58 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |