Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC Riverside Highlanders

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 83.68%1.19fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -12.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.90%83.29%83.58%84.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1789.29%87.70%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit)

Prediction 16.32%6.13fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.224%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%16.71%16.42%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.585.606.2021.51%17.93%17.86%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 83.68%; UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit): 16.32%. For UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +1.16%E +0.188%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.6%2026-02-26 23:14
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:40
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:55
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 16:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.55%E -0.777%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:05
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 18:25
888sport🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 20:04
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 09:44
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:04
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:32
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:05
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 09:44
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.93%E -2.52%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.15%E -2.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.09%E -1.79%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -24.13%E -5.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 85.03%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.97%-0.3%2026-02-26 23:39
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-02-27 00:59
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-02-27 01:50
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-02-27 01:54
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-02-27 01:50