L’École des cotes

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC Riverside Highlanders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prévision 83.68%1.19cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -12.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.90%83.29%83.58%84.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.141.141.1789.29%87.70%87.72%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UC Riverside Highlanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.188%
Kelly +0.224%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.42%16.71%16.42%20.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.655.585.606.2021.51%17.93%17.86%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +1.16%E +0.188%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.6%2026-02-26 23:14
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:20
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -1.28%E -0.212%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 19:20
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:05
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:40
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:55
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 16:35
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 13:40
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.55%E -0.777%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:05
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.04%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 18:25
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.18%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:59
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 17:00
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 20:04
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 09:44
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:04
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:32
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:05
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:05
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.44%E -4.81%K -41.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 09:44
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.93%E -2.52%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -15.15%E -2.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:15
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.09%E -1.79%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -24.13%E -5.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 01:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 85.03%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.97%-0.3%2026-02-26 23:39
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-02-27 00:59
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-02-27 01:50
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55%2.1%2026-02-27 01:54
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-02-27 01:50