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UC San Diego Tritons v Cal Poly Mustangs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UC San Diego Tritons (Local)
Prediction 64.22%1.56fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.12%64.20%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.491.5269.44%67.39%67.11%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)
Prediction 35.78%2.79fair odd
EV -0.876%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%35.88%35.80%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.632.7740.82%38.14%38.02%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 64.22%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 35.78%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -0.876%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 00:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 23:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 00:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.68%E -2.97%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 23:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54% | -0.2% | 2026-03-12 00:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |