La escuela de los momios

UC San Diego Tritons v Cal Poly Mustangs

Inicio: 2026-03-12 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

UC San Diego Tritons (Local)

Predicción 64.22%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -4.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.12%64.20%65.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.491.5269.44%67.39%67.11%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visitante)

Predicción 35.78%2.79momio equitativo
EV -0.876%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.495%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.98%35.88%35.80%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.622.632.7740.82%38.14%38.02%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 00:35
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:05
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 23:44
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:54
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 21:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:54
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:55
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:54
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:49
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 22:54
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:05
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:54
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:49
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.25%E -4.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 22:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:54
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:54
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 00:30
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 21:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 21:39
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 00:48
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:44
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:14
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 22:05
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 00:54
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.68%E -2.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:40
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:40
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 21:40
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 21:40
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 22:54
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 23:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.53%E -5.23%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 23:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54%-0.2%2026-03-12 00:34
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-03-12 00:49
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-12 00:54
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-03-12 00:54